Chase-clinching scenarios for Richmond – Nascar

Editor’s Note: Clinching scenarios courtesy of NASCAR statistical services

RELATED: Updated standings | Chase Grid


There is just one race left before the 16-driver Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup field is set. Here are the scenarios for clinching a Chase berth at Richmond International Raceway in the Federated Auto Parts 400 (Sat. Sept. 12, 7:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio). Below is the complete list of drivers currently in the Chase Grid.


Drivers with wins who have clinched a spot in the Chase as long as they attempt to qualify for the final regular-season race:


1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Kyle Busch
3. Joey Logano
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Kevin Harvick
6. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
7. Kurt Busch
8. Carl Edwards
9. Brad Keselowski
10. Martin Truex Jr.
11. Denny Hamlin

Drivers currently in the top 16:

12. Jamie McMurray

13. Ryan Newman

14. Jeff Gordon
15. Paul Menard
16. Clint Bowyer

Four drivers control their Chase fate without a win: Jamie McMurray, Ryan Newman, Jeff Gordon and Paul Menard . Three drivers can also clinch without a win, but need help in the form of poor finishes from winless drivers ahead of them in points and/or a repeat winner: Clint Bowyer, Aric Almirola and Kasey Kahne .

The following drivers can only clinch a Chase spot with a win at Richmond: Greg Biffle, Kyle Larson, Austin Dillon, AJ Allmendinger, Casey Mears, Danica Patrick, Tony Stewart, David Ragan, Sam Hornish Jr., Trevor Bayne, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Justin Allgaier .

At Richmond, regardless of who wins the race:

Jamie McMurray clinches by starting the race.

Ryan Newman clinches by finishing 31st or better; 32nd with at least one lap led; or 33rd with the most laps led.

Jeff Gordon clinches by finishing 17th or better; 18th with at least one lap led; or 19th with the most laps led.

Paul Menard clinches by finishing ninth or better; 10th with at least one lap led; or 11th with the most laps led.

At Richmond, if there is a repeat winner:

Jamie McMurray, Ryan Newman and Jeff Gordon will clinch regardless of finish.

Paul Menard clinches by finishing 38th or better; 39th with at least one lap led; or 40th with the most laps led.

Clint Bowyer clinches by finishing 28th or better; 29th with at least one lap led; or 30th with the most laps led.


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