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Kansas supplanted Gonzaga at No. 1 in the USA TODAY Sports coaches poll.
USA TODAY Sports

It’s worth noting that bracketology projections are based on how the NCAA tournament selection committee will seed based on previous years’ trends and current team résumés. That being said, Arizona and Gonzaga fans won’t be happy with today’s bracket.

Duke and Kentucky fans likely will be.

The Blue Devils got a nice profile victory against a projected No. 2 seed Florida State and shift up to the No. 3 line. Of the teams that had to fall, it’s Arizona. Not because the Wildcats aren’t a fantastic team but simply because Duke has a better résumé right now. In some ways, that’s more so the separation of the ACC and Pac-12 than it is between two teams.

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Kentucky needed a big comeback to take down a pesky bubble team in Vanderbilt, which stays in despite its overall record. The biggest upset of today’s bracket is the Wildcats moving ahead of previously-unbeaten Gonzaga at the No. 2 line. And, now due to bracketing rules, the ‘Zags move out of the West Region. Once again, UK’s overall résumé looks better. Keep in mind, this is a fluid situation and the difference between No. 2s, No. 3s and a couple of No. 4s is very thin.

► No. 1 seeds: Kansas, Villanova, North Carolina and Oregon

► Last four in: Illinois, Vanderbilt, Wichita State, USC

► First four out: California, Georgia, Rhode Island, Ohio State

► Others considered for at-large bids (in no particular order): Clemson, Wake Forest, Tennessee, Georgia Tech, Iowa

► On life support: – Houston, Ole Miss, TCU, Kansas State, Alabama, Indiana, Pittsburgh

► No longer considered for at-large: UConn, Texas, Charleston, New Mexico, Boise State, LaSalle, Davidson, Chattanooga, Saint Bonaventure, Saint Joseph’s, BYU, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Temple, North Carolina State, Stanford, Nevada, Texas A&M, Memphis, Utah, Auburn, Texas Tech, Georgetown, Penn State

► Multi-bid conferences: ACC (9), Big Ten (8), Big East (7), Big 12 (5), SEC (5), Pac-12 (4), A-10 (2), AAC (2), MVC (2), WCC (2).

Conference Leaders

► Or highest RPI from projected one-bid conferences – (23 total): Vermont (America East), Florida Gulf Coast (Atlantic Sun), North Dakota (Big Sky), UNC-Asheville (Big South), UC Irvine (Big West), UNC-Wilmington (CAA), Middle Tennessee State (Conference USA), Valparaiso (Horizon), Princeton (Ivy League), Monmouth (MAAC), Akron (MAC), N.C. Central (MEAC), Illinois State (Missouri Valley), Nevada (Mountain West), Mount Saint Mary’s (Northeast), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Bucknell (Patriot), East Tennessee State (Southern), New Orleans (Southland), Texas Southern (SWAC), South Dakota (Summit), Texas-Arlington (Sun Belt), CSU Bakersfield (WAC).

  • Banned from participating: Hawaii, Southern Mississippi, Alcorn State, Savannah State, Northern Colorado
  • Transition Schools, ineligible for the tourney: Abilene Christian (Southland), Grand Canyon (WAC), Incarnate Word (Southland), Massachusetts-Lowell (American East)    

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Note: All RPI and statistical data is used from WarrenNolan.com.

About our bracketologist: Shelby Mast has been projecting the field since 2005 and has finished as one of the top 5 national bracketologists for his website, Bracket W.A.G. He’s predicted for The Indianapolis Star, collegeinsider.com and is an inaugural member of the Super 10 Selection Committee. Follow him on Twitter @BracketWag.

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